EARLY WARNING
Multi-indicator divergence detection. Comparing unconventional proxy signals against official alerts to detect crises before they're announced.
Canary Gauge
Signal vs. Alert Rate
Source Activity
Divergence Indicators
About This Feed
The Early Warning Composite compares unconventional proxy signals (Pentagon pizza orders, prediction market movements, betting odds) against official government and institutional alerts (FEMA, NWS, USGS, GDACS).
The Canary Score (0-100) is a composite indicator based on signal divergence between unconventional and official sources, weighted by overall threat levels. High unconventional activity with low official acknowledgment suggests emerging situations not yet publicly recognized.
Sources with more than 3 events in the current batch are flagged as "hot" divergence indicators, suggesting abnormal activity that warrants attention.